By Casey Westphalen
This market update is a PorkNetwork
weekly column reporting trends in weaner pig prices and swine facility availability. All information contained in this update is for the week ended January 20, 2017.
Looking at hog sales in July 2017 using August 2017 futures the weaner breakeven was $60.30, down $4.37 for the week. Feed costs were up $2.05 per head. August futures decreased $0.90 compared to last week’s July futures used for the crush and historical basis is less favorable compared to last week by $0.21. Breakeven prices are based on closing futures prices on January 20, 2017. The breakeven price is the estimated maximum you could pay for a weaner pig and breakeven when selling the finished hog.
Note that the weaner pig profitability calculations provide weekly insight into the relative value of pigs based on assumptions that may not be reflective of your individual situation. In addition, these calculations don’t take into account market supply and demand dynamics for weaner pigs and space availability.
From the National Direct Delivered Feeder Pig Report
Cash traded weaner pig volume was below average this week with 26,423 head being reported which is 76 percent of the 52-week average. Cash prices were $53.41, up $2.13 from a week ago. The low to high range was $48.00 – $58.00. Formula priced weaners were up $1.08 this week at $43.38.
Cash traded feeder pig reported volume was below average with 2,365 head reported. Cash feeder pig reported prices were $67.61, down $1.84 per head from last week.
Graph 1 shows the seasonal trends of the cash weaner pig market.
Graph 2 shows the cash weaner price and cash feeder price on a weekly basis through January 20, 2017.
Graph 3 shows the estimated weaner pig profit by comparing the weaner pig cash price to the weaner breakeven. The profit potential decreased $6.50 this week to $6.89 per head.