This market update is a PorkNetwork weekly column reporting trends in weaner pig prices and swine facility availability.  All information contained in this update is for the week ended July 1, 2016.

Looking at hog sales in December 2016 using February 2017 futures, the weaner breakeven was $28.29, up $3.72 for the week. Feed costs were down $2.04 per head. February futures increased $.80 compared to last week’s February futures used for the crush. Breakeven prices are based on closing futures prices on July 1, 2016. The breakeven price is the estimated maximum you could pay for a weaner pig and breakeven when selling the finished hog.

 

For the Week Ended
7/1/2016
Weekly Change
Weaner pig breakeven
$28.29
$3.72
Margin over variable costs
$47.57
$3.72
Pig purchase month
July, 2016
Live hog sale month
Dec, 2016
Lean hog futures
$67.43
$0.80
Lean hog basis/cwt
($6.73)
$0.00
Weighted average sbm futures
$399.93
$25.61
Weighted average sbm basis
($4.04)
$0.00
Weighted average corn futures
$3.66
($0.28)
Weighted average corn basis
($0.24)
$0.00
Nursery cost/space/yr
$35.00
$0.00
Finisher cost/space/yr
$40.00
$0.00
Feed costs per head
$73.08
($2.04)
Assumed carcass weight
205
0

Note that the weaner pig profitability calculations provide weekly insight into the relative value of pigs based on assumptions that may not be reflective of your individual situation. In addition, these calculations don’t take into account market supply and demand dynamics for weaner pigs and space availability.

From the National Direct Delivered Feeder Pig Report

Cash traded weaner pig volume was below average this week with 11,350 head being reported which is 38 percent of the 52-week average. Cash prices were $21.65, up $1.38 from a week ago. The low to high range was $11.50 to $28.00. Formula priced weaners were up $1.22 this week at $36.19.

Cash traded feeder pig reported volume was below average with 3,715 head reported. Cash feeder pig reported prices were $43.03, down $3.50 per head from last week.

Graph 1 shows the seasonal trends of the cash weaner pig market.

Weaner-July6-1

Graph 2 shows the cash weaner price and cash feeder price on a weekly basis through July 1, 2016.

Weaner-July6-2

Graph 3 shows the estimated weaner pig profit by comparing the weaner pig cash price to the weaner breakeven. The profit potential increased $2.34 this week to $6.64 per head.

Weaner-July6-3

Original article July 6, Pork Network

 

Weaner breakeven nears $30