This market update is a PorkBusiness weekly column reporting trends in weaner and feeder pig production. All information contained in this update is for the week ended Nov. 23, 2018.
Looking at hog sales in May 2019 using June 2019 futures, the weaner breakeven was $70.64, up $3.75 for the week. Feed costs were down $0.89 per head. June futures increased $1.38 compared to last week’s June futures used for the crush and historical basis is unchanged from last week. Breakeven prices are based on closing futures prices on Nov. 23, 2018. The breakeven price is the estimated maximum you could pay for a weaner pig and breakeven when selling the finished hog.
Note that the weaner pig profitability calculations provide weekly insight into the relative value of pigs based on assumptions that may not be reflective of your individual situation. In addition, these calculations do not consider market supply and demand dynamics for weaner pigs and space availability.
From the National Direct Delivered Feeder Pig Report
Cash-traded weaner pig volume was below average this week with 30,700 head reported which is 91% of the 52-week average. Cash prices were $47.82, up $5.20 from a week ago. The low to high range was $30.00 – $61.00. Formula-priced weaners were up $0.50 this week at $41.15.
Cash-traded feeder pig reported volume was above average with 9,065 head reported. Cash feeder pig reported prices were $52.28, up $4.96 per head from last week.
Graph 1 shows the seasonal trends of the cash weaner pig market.
Graph 2 shows the cash weaner price and cash feeder price on a weekly basis through Nov. 23, 2018.
Graph 3 shows the estimated weaner pig profit by comparing the weaner pig cash price to the weaner breakeven. The profit potential decreased $1.45 this week to a projected gain of $22.82 per head.
Original article Nov. 23, Farm Journal’s Pork